Cool damp June: July starting out better

Maritimers, patient for summer to arrive, endured a rather cool damp late Spring.  The June statistics as of 29 June show that temperatures were in general, a couple degrees below normal, and rain amounts were overall about 50 percent higher than average.

July will begin warmer than normal for Canada Day, with mid twenties over much of the region, and the Annapolis Valley and Northeastern New Brunswick perhaps getting into the upper twenties in the afternoon.

 

While there is more uncertainty for PEI, the 40 model ensembles suggest that the first week of July will be warm, with high temperatures averaging the mid-twenties.

 

 

 

 

If we look at the temperature outlook for July, the overall pattern of warm dry weather in Western Canada is expected to continue, where drought and wildfire are a threat.  The model suggests that Ontario will be below normal; with a near to above normal pattern for the Maritimes.  While there is not much skill in these extended forecasts, it’s encouraging that July will be much better than June.  With a warmer pattern, precipitation should be more showery… and therefore have much less impact on outdoor plans.

I hope.