2:45 PM ADT Wednesday 02 July 2014

Tropical cyclone information statement for:

 

NEW BRUNSWICK

NEWFOUNDLAND

NOVA SCOTIA

PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

 

For tropical storm Arthur.

 

The next statement will be issued by 9:00 PM ADT.

 

Tropical storm Arthur developing into a hurricane – to merge with cold front late this week while moving toward Atlantic Canada.

 

1. Summary of basic information at 3.00 PM ADT.

 

Location: 29.1 north 79.1 west.

 

About 225 km east-northeast of orlando.

 

Maximum sustained winds: 90 km/hr.

 

Present movement: north near 10 km/h.

 

Minimum central pressure: 996 MB.

 

2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

The tropical storm is expected to intensify to hurricane strength tonight as it moves slowly northeastward not far off the U.S. East Coast. A trough of low pressure will be moving eastward from the Great Lakes, guiding Arthur toward Atlantic Canada. The nature of the trough approaching from the Great Lakes will make all the difference in Arthur’s intensity, track and structure as it moves toward our region. Scenarios range from a direct effect with wind and rain to a well-offshore track with perhaps just rain from the trough, drawing moisture from the tropical system.

 

As usual, the track map forecast implies detailed location and storm intensity however there is much uncertainty 3 days away.

 

A. Wind.

 

Too soon for details.

 

B. Rainfall.

 

Too soon for details.

 

C. Surge/waves.

 

Too soon for details.

 

3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.

 

Mariners should remain on alert and stay tuned for forecast updates.

 

Visit weather.gc.ca/hurricane (all in lower case) for the latest:

 

– forecast position, central pressure table.

 

– strength and predicted wind radii table.

 

– hurricane track information map.

 

– technical discussion.

 

Please also refer to the public and marine forecasts and warnings issued by Environment Canada for your area.

 

Forecaster(s): fogarty

 

Source: Release